Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 12.360465 13.906099 15.655256 17.799372 20.381819 23.424611 27.330686
2025-05-04 10.027103 11.880985 14.144600 17.167329 21.186821 26.485059 34.246979
2025-05-11 9.065323 11.136950 13.807109 17.606843 23.064614 30.954907 43.942880
2025-05-18 8.153500 10.277196 13.123320 17.369465 23.841902 33.922213 52.253161
2025-05-25 7.457691 9.598235 12.560382 17.159017 24.539454 36.830511 61.396814
2025-06-01 6.936952 9.092417 12.160917 17.098819 25.411194 40.172805 72.628118
2025-06-08 6.402794 8.510352 11.577007 16.653180 25.532558 42.163651 81.888664
2025-06-15 6.048473 8.154495 11.288415 16.630638 26.364488 45.690384 96.457465
2025-06-22 5.581091 7.592332 10.628241 15.902409 25.773068 46.155074 103.397187
2025-06-29 5.154097 7.061914 9.974821 15.113436 24.943580 45.917533 108.315734
2025-07-06 4.829507 6.667485 9.507999 14.601730 24.580080 46.652579 116.771239
2025-07-13 4.944617 6.959097 10.170604 16.180592 28.721633 59.364068 177.488991
2025-07-20 4.824214 6.879031 10.225359 16.677246 30.766238 67.865888 235.657934
2025-07-27 4.534529 6.507777 9.755367 16.111282 30.316518 69.223935 261.710908
2025-08-03 4.425146 6.423562 9.774838 16.512386 32.222758 78.560193 353.334891
2025-08-10 4.232068 6.187716 9.506617 16.295517 32.571650 83.044647 424.945324
2025-08-17 4.058574 5.974635 9.263397 16.103131 32.950133 87.871351 516.936352
2025-08-24 3.917630 5.808740 9.093840 16.048084 33.686175 94.479197 658.771388
2025-08-31 3.740554 5.571648 8.776994 15.640360 33.383968 96.860889 764.165995
2025-09-07 3.625617 5.436312 8.641407 15.619726 34.177883 104.421702 1011.029600
2025-09-14 3.438096 5.165878 8.234955 14.952580 32.979902 102.482510 1066.404944
2025-09-21 3.254292 4.895411 7.816286 14.228572 31.524596 98.909312 1073.620944
2025-09-28 3.111420 4.692070 7.517090 13.758307 30.777546 98.595744 1176.060238